Parse official Michigan survey archive reports
Extract original preliminary and final results with publication dates and validated table headers. Add annual report discovery and real report fixtures covering cross-month releases and PDF text layout differences.
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@@ -1,7 +1,7 @@
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"""官方当期公告解析；归档内容不被标为公布时就已采集的原始版本。"""
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import re
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from dataclasses import dataclass
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from datetime import UTC, datetime
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from datetime import UTC, datetime, timedelta
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from parsel import Selector
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@@ -20,6 +20,37 @@ class Announcement:
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values: dict
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def parse_umich_report(text: str) -> Announcement:
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"""取当期 PDF 最后一列；前十二列只是报告当时所列历史值。"""
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text = compact(text)
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# 2026-02 PDF 的首字母 P 是单独的文字块，提取后与 reliminary 之间有换行。
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heading = re.search(r"(?:P\s*reliminary results from the (" + MONTH_PATTERN + r") (20\d\d) survey|(" +
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MONTH_PATTERN + r") (20\d\d) survey results)\s+(" + MONTH_PATTERN + r" \d{1,2}, 20\d\d)", text)
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if heading is None:
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raise ValueError("密歇根历史报告缺少统计期、发布阶段或正式日期")
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month, year = (heading[1], heading[2]) if heading[1] else (heading[3], heading[4])
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period = f"{year}-{MONTHS[month]:02d}"
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stage = "preliminary" if heading[1] else "final"
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at = datetime.strptime(heading[5], "%B %d, %Y").replace(hour=10, tzinfo=EASTERN).astimezone(UTC)
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table = re.search(r"((?:[A-Z][a-z]{2}\s+){13})((?:(?:20\d\d|Prelim)\s+){13})"
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r"Index of Consumer Sentiment\s+((?:\d+(?:\.\d+)?\s+){13})Current Economic Conditions", text)
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if table is None:
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raise ValueError("密歇根历史报告缺少完整的消费者信心表头或数值行")
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months, years, values = (group.split() for group in table.groups())
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current = datetime(int(year), MONTHS[month], 1)
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previous = (current - timedelta(days=1)).strftime("%Y-%m")
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# 初值最后一列表头用 Prelim 代替年份；其他十二列必须与统计月份逐列一致。
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for index in range(13):
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expected_month = (current.month - 1 + index) % 12 + 1
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expected_year = current.year - 1 + (current.month - 1 + index) // 12
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expected_label = "Prelim" if index == 12 and stage == "preliminary" else str(expected_year)
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if months[index] != datetime(2000, expected_month, 1).strftime("%b") or years[index] != expected_label:
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raise ValueError("密歇根历史报告表头与统计期或发布阶段不符")
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return Announcement(at, period, stage, {"umich_sentiment": {
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"actual": number(values[-1]), "previous": number(values[-2]), "previous_basis": f"{previous} 官方上月终值",
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}})
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def signed(match: re.Match) -> str:
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sign = "-" if match[1].lower() in {"declined", "decreased", "fell", "edged down", "moved down"} else ""
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return number(sign + match[2])
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@@ -29,6 +29,28 @@ def document_links(body: str, base: str, labels: set[str]) -> dict[str, str]:
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return {label: links[label] for label in labels if label in links}
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def report_links(body: str, year: int) -> dict[tuple[str, str], str]:
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"""年度索引只取初值、终值报告，不把数据手册或专题报告当作当期公告。"""
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sel = Selector(text=body, type="html")
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if compact(sel.css("#report_heading .title").xpath("string(.)").get()) != f"{year} Reports":
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raise ValueError("密歇根历史报告索引年份不符")
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reports = {}
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for node in sel.css("a[href]"):
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match = re.fullmatch(r"([A-Z][a-z]+) (Preliminary|Final) Results", compact(node.xpath("string(.)").get()))
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if match is None:
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continue
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identity = (f"{year}-{MONTHS[match[1]]:02d}", "preliminary" if match[2] == "Preliminary" else "final")
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url = urljoin("https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/", node.attrib["href"])
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if not re.fullmatch(r"https://data\.sca\.isr\.umich\.edu/fetchdoc\.php\?docid=\d+", url):
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raise ValueError("密歇根历史报告链接不是官方文档地址")
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if identity in reports:
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raise ValueError("密歇根历史报告索引存在重复期次")
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reports[identity] = url
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if not reports:
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raise ValueError("密歇根年度索引没有可识别的初值或终值报告")
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return reports
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def parse_schedule(text: str) -> list[Scheduled]:
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events = []
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# 历史 PDF 明确列出调查月份、初值日期和终值日期，包括跨月公布。
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@@ -0,0 +1,78 @@
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© The University of Michigan, 2025. All rights reserved.
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Monitoring trends for over 75 years
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January 2025 survey results January 24, 2025
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Joanne Hsu, PhD, Director
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Consumer sentiment fell for the first time in six months, edging down 4%
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from December. While assessments of personal finances inched up for the
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fifth consecutive month, all other index components pulled back. Indeed,
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sentiment declines were broad based and seen across incomes, wealth, and
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age groups. Buying conditions for durables softened but remained about
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30% better than six months ago amid persistent views that purchasing now
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would avoid future price increases. Despite reporting stronger incomes
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this month, concerns about unemployment rose; about 47% of consumers
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expect unemployment to rise in the year ahead, the highest since the
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pandemic recession. January’s data closed on Inauguration Day, and
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consumers of all political leanings will continue to refine their views as Trump’s policies are clarified and implemented.
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Year-ahead inflation expectations soared from 2.8% last month to 3.3% this month. The current reading is the highest since
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May 2024 and is above the 2.3-3.0% range seen in the two years prior to the pandemic. Long-run inflation expectations rose
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from 3.0% last month to 3.2% this month, the same reading seen in November 2024. For both the short and long run,
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inflation expectations rose across income and educational groups. Concerns over the future trajectory of inflation were
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visible throughout the interviews and were tied to beliefs about anticipated policies like tariffs. Consumers continued to
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spontaneously express motives for buying-in-advance to avoid future price increases, and robust auto and retail sales data
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suggest that consumers are indeed acting on these views.
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Consumers’ concerns over the path of inflation appear closely tied to their views on anticipated economic policies under
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the new president. Since the election, inflation expectations have risen for Democrats and fallen for Republicans. These
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trends are consistent with historical patterns. During the Trump to Biden transition, the inflation expectations of Republicans
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and Democrats similarly rotated around the national average, albeit against a backdrop of sustained low inflation in the
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2010s. This month’s interviews make it abundantly clear that the current divergence in inflation expectations is shaped by
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beliefs about future policy, rather than a form of political expression divorced from economic factors.
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In January, consumers were asked if they thought higher tariffs would be better for the economy, or if lower tariffs would
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be better, or if tariff policy would make no difference for the economy. As seen in the chart, about 19% of consumers
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reported higher tariffs would be better for the economy, while 62% favored lower tariffs. Strikingly, those favoring higher
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tariffs had much lower inflation expectations, both year-ahead and long-run, than those favoring lower tariffs and those who
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believed tariff policy has little economic impact. These patterns suggest that consumers expect Trump to hold true to his
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plan to hike tariffs and have incorporated the anticipated policy change into their economic expectations.
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Responses to the tariff question were not fully correlated with party affiliation; less than half of Republicans reported that
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higher tariffs would be better for the economy. Younger, more-educated, or higher-income consumers were more likely to
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favor lower tariffs for the economy. Note that the interview focused on the perceived impact of tariffs on the economy,
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rather than the overall policy preferences of the consumer. Some consumers may believe that lower tariffs are better for the
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economy but prefer higher tariffs for non-economic reasons, say as a negotiating strategy or to advance other goals.
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Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan
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2024 2024 2024 2024 2024 2024 2024 2024 2024 2024 2024 2024 2025
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Index of Consumer Sentiment 79.0 76.9 79.4 77.2 69.1 68.2 66.4 67.9 70.1 70.5 71.8 74.0 71.1
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Current Economic Conditions 81.9 79.4 82.5 79.0 69.6 65.9 62.7 61.3 63.3 64.9 63.9 75.1 74.0
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Index of Consumer Expectations 77.1 75.2 77.4 76.0 68.8 69.6 68.8 72.1 74.4 74.1 76.9 73.3 69.3
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Index Components
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Personal Finances - Current 100 98 104 95 91 81 79 79 80 81 82 85 86
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Personal Finances - Expected 122 116 122 116 111 106 105 108 111 110 116 111 108
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Economic Outlook - 12 Months 93 93 95 92 79 84 86 88 93 92 97 88 81
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Economic Outlook - 5 Years 94 92 94 96 84 88 84 92 94 95 96 94 88
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Buying Conditions - Durables 111 106 109 109 88 88 81 78 82 85 82 108 104
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-1
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0
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1
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2
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3
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4
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5
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Higher Tariffs
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Better for Economy
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(19% of Consumers)
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Lower Tariffs
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Better for Economy
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(62% of Consumers)
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No Difference
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for Economy
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(19% of Consumers)
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Median Inflation Expectations %
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Inflation Expectations Reflect Views on Policies
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Consumers who Favor Higher Tariffs Expect Lower Inflation
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Year-Ahead Inflation
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Expectations
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Long-Run Inflation
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Expectations
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@@ -0,0 +1,68 @@
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© The University of Michigan, 2025. All rights reserved.
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Monitoring trends for over 75 years
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Preliminary results from the January 2025 survey January 10, 2025
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Joanne Hsu, PhD, Director
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Consumer sentiment was essentially unchanged in January, inching down
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less than one index point from December, well within the margin of error.
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Assessments of personal finances improved about 5%, while the economic
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outlook fell back 7% for the short run and 5% for the long r un. January’s
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divergence in views of the present and the future reflects easing concerns
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over the current cost of living this month, but surging worries over the future
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path of inflation. Overall, this month’s deterioration in the expectations index
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was se en acro ss political affiliation s, including decline s of about 3% for
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Independents and 1.5% for Republicans.
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Year-ahead inflation expectations soared from 2.8% last month to 3.3% this month. The current reading is the highest since
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May 2024 and is above the 2.3-3.0% range seen in the two years prior to the pandemic. Long-run inflation expectations rose
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from 3.0% last month to 3.3% this month. This is only the third time in the last four years that long-run expectations have
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exhibited such a large one -month change. For both the short and long run , inflation expectations rose across multiple
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demographic groups, with particularly strong increases among lower -income co nsumers and Independents. Note that
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inflation uncertainty—as estimated using the interquartile range in inflation expectations —has climbed considerably over
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the past year, though it remains well below levels seen in the 1970s (see chart). October 2024’s special report provides
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additional context for understanding the path of long-run inflation expectations over the last seven years.
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Inflation expectations are being shaped by beliefs about future policy. The share of consumers worried about the prospect
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of tariff hikes continues to rise. Nearly one-third of consumers spontaneously mentioned tariffs, up from 24% in December
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and less than 2% prior to the election. These consumers generally report that tariff hikes will pass through to consumers in
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the form of higher prices, thus pushing up their inflation expectations.
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Concerningly, recent data show an emergence of inflationary psychology —motives for buying-in-advance to avoid future
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price increases, the proliferation of which would generate further momentum for inf lation. Like in December, 22% of
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consumers this month reported that purchasing durables now would enable buyers to avoid future price hikes, the highest
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since 1990. That said, these buy-in-advance price rationales were far more prevalent in the 1970s, averaging 41% in 1978.
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Expectations for the future weakened on other dimensions as well. Half of consumers expect unemployment rates to rise in
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the year ahead, up from 40% last month and 31% a year ago. This month’s worsening was concentrated among Independents
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and Republicans. Consumers’ expectations over their own income growth also fell from last month in both nominal and real
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terms. Only one-third of consumers expect interest rates to fall over the next year, down from 41% in December and falling
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for the fourth straight month. All told, consumers perceive numerous sources of downside risk to the economy.
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Despite their worries for the future, consumers are fully aware that current inflation has slowed over the past two or so
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years. In fact, the 4% increase in Current Conditions this month was largely supported by softening worries over current
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prices. About 32% of consumers spontaneously cited high prices as weighing down their personal finances, down from 47%
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in August 2024 and the lowest seen since February 2022. For buying conditions for large purchases, spontaneous mentions
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of high prices have fallen over the last five months for durable goods and are the lowest since May 2021 for vehicles.
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Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan
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2024 2024 2024 2024 2024 2024 2024 2024 2024 2024 2024 2024 Prelim
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Index of Consumer Sentiment 79.0 76.9 79.4 77.2 69.1 68.2 66.4 67.9 70.1 70.5 71.8 74.0 73.2
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Current Economic Conditions 81.9 79.4 82.5 79.0 69.6 65.9 62.7 61.3 63.3 64.9 63.9 75.1 77.9
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Index of Consumer Expectations 77.1 75.2 77.4 76.0 68.8 69.6 68.8 72.1 74.4 74.1 76.9 73.3 70.2
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Index Components
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Personal Finances - Current 100 98 104 95 91 81 79 79 80 81 82 85 89
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Personal Finances - Expected 122 116 122 116 111 106 105 108 111 110 116 111 110
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Economic Outlook - 12 Months 93 93 95 92 79 84 86 88 93 92 97 88 82
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Economic Outlook - 5 Years 94 92 94 96 84 88 84 92 94 95 96 94 89
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Buying Conditions - Durables 111 106 109 109 88 88 81 78 82 85 82 108 112
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0
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2
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4
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6
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8
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10
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1977 1982 1987 1992 1997 2002 2007 2012 2017 2022
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Uncertainty - Year-Ahead Inflation Expectations
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Uncertainty - 5-10 Year Inflation Expectations
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Consumers Express Rising Uncertainty Over Path of Inflation
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Uncertainty Estimated by 75th Percentile – 25th Percentile of Expectations
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3-Month Moving Averages
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University of Michigan, January 10, 2025
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@@ -0,0 +1,77 @@
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© The University of Michigan, 2025. All rights reserved.
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Monitoring trends for over 75 years
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July 2025 survey results August 1, 2025
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Joanne Hsu, PhD, Director
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Consumer sentiment improved for the second straight month, inching up
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a scant single index point from June. Current conditions rose about 5% to
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its highest reading since February 2025, while the expectations index fell
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slightly. A rise in sentiment among stock holders was partially offset by a
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decline among consumers who do not own stocks . Perceptions of this
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month’s economic developments were similar across the political
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spectrum; Republicans, Independents, and Democrats all saw some minor
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increases in sentiment this month. Although recent trends show sentiment
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moving in a favorable direction, sentiment remains broadly negative.
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Consumers are hardly optimistic about the trajectory of the economy, even as their worries have softened since April 2025.
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Year-ahead inflation expectations fell for a second straight month, plunging from 5.0% last month to 4.5% this month. This
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is the lowest reading since February 2025 but above December 2024 just after the election. Long-run inflation expectations
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receded for the third consecut ive month, falling back from 4.0% in June to 3.4% in July. This is the lowest reading since
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January 2025 but, again, still considerably higher than the December 2024 reading.
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Labor market expectations improved just a touch but remain considerably weaker than a year ago. About 57% of consumers
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expect unemployment to rise in the year ahead, down from the two-thirds seen in March and April, but well above the 35%
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seen a year ago (see chart, red solid line). Aside from the last five months, this is the highest reading since 2009. Moreover,
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consumers continue to perceive elevated risks of personal job loss (see chart, black dotted line). Expectations of own
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incomes remain extremely low and are less than half of what was seen in December 2024.
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Sentiment this year has tracked the salience of tariffs to consumers. The share of consumers spontaneously offering
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comments about tariffs has fallen from a height of two-thirds of consumers in May to 57%, still a solid majority, in July.
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While tariff policy appears to be stabilizing below the levels threatened in April, recent announcements include tariff rates
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that are still very high from a historical perspective. Tariff concerns are particularly strong among higher -income, high-
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stock-wealth, and college-educated consumers. These consumers note that their personal finances have been boosted by
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strong asset values, but their personal views of the economy are still relatively gloomy, which presents its own risks given
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their large contribution to aggregate spending.
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Overall, the survey reveals risks to both of the Fed’s mandates. While inflation expectations have fallen considerably from
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the initial shock of the April tariff threats, they remain notably higher than the pre-pandemic period. Consumers clearly do
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not believe that the risk of accelerating inflation has passed. Meanwhile, expectations remain poor for business conditions
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and elevated for unemployment; critically, consumers anticipate they may be personally affected. Despite recent
|
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improvements, this combination of views is consistent with a slowdown in spending, as consumers may respond to these
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risks with more cautious financial behavior. At the same time, a cautionary pullback in spending could potentially mediate
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any inflationary effects of tariffs.
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Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul
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2024 2024 2024 2024 2024 2024 2025 2025 2025 2025 2025 2025 2025
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Index of Consumer Sentiment 66.4 67.9 70.1 70.5 71.8 74.0 71.7 64.7 57.0 52.2 52.2 60.7 61.7
|
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Current Economic Conditions 62.7 61.3 63.3 64.9 63.9 75.1 75.1 65.7 63.8 59.8 58.9 64.8 68.0
|
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Index of Consumer Expectations 68.8 72.1 74.4 74.1 76.9 73.3 69.5 64.0 52.6 47.3 47.9 58.1 57.7
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Index Components
|
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Personal Finances - Current 79 79 80 81 82 85 87 82 74 71 67 78 83
|
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Personal Finances - Expected 105 108 111 110 116 111 109 99 86 78 79 94 91
|
||||
Economic Outlook - 12 Months 86 88 93 92 97 88 81 73 56 48 50 63 66
|
||||
Economic Outlook - 5 Years 84 92 94 95 96 94 88 83 66 60 60 74 72
|
||||
Buying Conditions - Durables 81 78 82 85 82 108 106 86 89 82 83 88 91
|
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13
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||||
15
|
||||
17
|
||||
19
|
||||
21
|
||||
23
|
||||
25
|
||||
0
|
||||
10
|
||||
20
|
||||
30
|
||||
40
|
||||
50
|
||||
60
|
||||
70
|
||||
80
|
||||
1997 2001 2005 2009 2013 2017 2021 2025
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Probability of Losing a Job During the
|
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Next 5 Years (3-Month Movng Average)
|
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% of Consumers Expecting More Unemployment
|
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During the Next Year (3-Month Moving Average)
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Despite Recent Improvements, Consumers Still
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Anticipate Rising Unemployment and Elevated
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Risks of Personal Job Loss
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@@ -0,0 +1,73 @@
|
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© The University of Michigan, 2026. All rights reserved.
|
||||
Monitoring trends for over 75 years
|
||||
P
|
||||
reliminary results from the February 2026 survey February 6, 2026
|
||||
Joanne Hsu, PhD, Director
|
||||
Consumer sentiment was essentially unchanged, inching up less than
|
||||
one index point from last month and sitting about 20% below January
|
||||
2025. Sentiment surged for consumers with the largest stock
|
||||
portfolios, while it stagnated and remained at dismal levels for
|
||||
consumers without stock holdings . On net, modest increases in
|
||||
current personal finances and buying conditions for durables were
|
||||
offset by a small decline in long- run business conditions. W hile
|
||||
sentiment is currently the highest since August 2025, recent monthly
|
||||
increases have been small—well under the margin of error—and the
|
||||
overall level of sentiment remains very low from a historical
|
||||
Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb
|
||||
2025 2025 2025 2025 2025 2025 2025 2025 2025 2025 2025 2026 Prelim
|
||||
Index of Consumer Sentiment 64.7 57.0 52.2 52.2 60.7 61.7 58.2 55.1 53.6 51.0 52.9 56.4 57.3
|
||||
Current Economic Conditions 65.7 63.8 59.8 58.9 64.8 68.0 61.7 60.4 58.6 51.1 50.4 55.4 58.3
|
||||
Index of Consumer Expectations 64.0 52.6 47.3 47.9 58.1 57.7 55.9 51.7 50.3 51.0 54.6 57.0 56.6
|
||||
Index Components
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Personal Finances - Current 82 74 71 67 78 83 77 76 78 66 68 74 77
|
||||
Personal Finances - Expected 99 86 78 79 94 91 91 86 82 85 93 95 95
|
||||
Economic Outlook - 12 Months 73 56 48 50 63 66 61 57 57 56 59 63 64
|
||||
Economic Outlook - 5 Years 83 66 60 60 74 72 70 62 59 61 64 68 65
|
||||
Buying Conditions - Durables 86 89 82 83 88 91 80 78 72 64 60 67 72
|
||||
40
|
||||
50
|
||||
60
|
||||
70
|
||||
80
|
||||
90
|
||||
100
|
||||
110
|
||||
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
|
||||
Index of Consumer Sentiment
|
||||
Top Tercile of Stock
|
||||
Holdings, 3mma
|
||||
No Stock Holdings,
|
||||
3mma
|
||||
Wealth Gaps in Sentiment Continue to Widen,
|
||||
Mirroring Trends Seen in 2023 and 2024
|
||||
|
||||
perspective. Concerns about the erosion of personal finances from high prices and elevated risk of job loss continue to
|
||||
|
||||
be
|
||||
widespread. Interviews for this release cover the two-week period that ended this past Monday.
|
||||
Year-ahead inflation expectations fell from 4.0% last month to 3.5 % this month, the lowest reading since January 2025.
|
||||
This month’s reading still exceeds those seen in 2024 and remains well above the 2.3-3.0% range seen in the two years pre-
|
||||
pandemic. Long-run inflation expectations inched up for the second straight month, from 3.3% last month to 3.4% this
|
||||
month. In comparison, readings ranged between 2.8% and 3.2% in 2024, and were below 2.8% throughout 2019 and 2020.
|
||||
Overall views of labor markets remain considerably weaker than a year ago, though changes from last month are a bit mixed.
|
||||
This month, a substantial 60% of consumers expect unemployment to rise in the year ahead, down a touch from January
|
||||
and the lowest share seen since July 2025. Meanwhile, the expected probability of own job loss climbed to its highest
|
||||
reading since July 2020. Thus, consumers continue to perceive risks to both sides of the Fed’s dual mandate.
|
||||
While views of the economy converged across population subgroups last spring amid announcements of the new tariff
|
||||
regimes, the 10 or so months thereafter have been characterized by a sharp divergence between higher -wealth, higher-
|
||||
income consumers and their lower-wealth, lower-income counterparts. As seen in the chart, sentiment for the largest
|
||||
stockholders is currently nearly 50% higher than May 2025, when national sentiment reached a trough. In contrast,
|
||||
sentiment for non-stockholders fell 6% during this period.
|
||||
These trends are consistent with the fact that asset values have soared, which benefits asset owners but not others. Notably,
|
||||
similar divergent patterns in sentiment were seen in 2023-2024 as well. Sentiment for high and low wealth groups converged
|
||||
in 2022 when post -Covid inflation peaked. In the two years that followed , sentiment for the wealthy soared while it
|
||||
languished for lower-wealth consumers. As such, the K-shape of sentiment seen over the past year is not a new phenomenon.
|
||||
These patterns highlight the ongoing heterogeneity in experiences and expectations for the economy that are obscured by
|
||||
headline aggregate statistics about the economy. Robust aggregate spending is consistent both with strength stemming from
|
||||
the disproportionate share of spending generated by wealthier consumers who are more confident, as well as the fact that
|
||||
less-confident, lower-wealth consumers may be exercising much more care over their spending amid pressures from high
|
||||
prices and weakening income prospects.
|
||||
Top Tercile of
|
||||
Stock Holdings
|
||||
Feb-2026 (monthly)
|
||||
No Stock Holdings Feb-2026 (monthly)
|
||||
@@ -1,12 +1,57 @@
|
||||
import asyncio
|
||||
from datetime import UTC, date, datetime
|
||||
from pathlib import Path
|
||||
from types import SimpleNamespace
|
||||
|
||||
import pytest
|
||||
|
||||
from alphapulse.calendar.archives import parse_announcements, parse_bls_text
|
||||
from alphapulse.calendar.archives import parse_announcements, parse_bls_text, parse_umich_report
|
||||
from alphapulse.calendar.parsers import bls_periods, release_metadata
|
||||
from alphapulse.calendar.umich import current_result, monthly_series, parse_schedule
|
||||
from alphapulse.calendar.umich import current_result, monthly_series, parse_schedule, report_links
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
@pytest.mark.parametrize("name,stage,at,actual,previous", [
|
||||
("2025-01-preliminary", "preliminary", datetime(2025, 1, 10, 15, tzinfo=UTC), "73.2", "74.0"),
|
||||
("2025-01-final", "final", datetime(2025, 1, 24, 15, tzinfo=UTC), "71.1", "74.0"),
|
||||
("2025-07-final", "final", datetime(2025, 8, 1, 14, tzinfo=UTC), "61.7", "60.7"),
|
||||
("2026-02-preliminary", "preliminary", datetime(2026, 2, 6, 15, tzinfo=UTC), "57.3", "56.4"),
|
||||
])
|
||||
def test_umich_report_preserves_original_vintage_stage_and_real_publication_date(name, stage, at, actual, previous):
|
||||
body = (Path(__file__).parent / "fixtures/calendar" / f"umich-{name}.txt").read_text()
|
||||
result = parse_umich_report(body)
|
||||
assert (result.period, result.stage, result.at) == (name[:7], stage, at)
|
||||
assert result.values["umich_sentiment"]["actual"] == actual
|
||||
assert result.values["umich_sentiment"]["previous"] == previous
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
@pytest.mark.parametrize("old,new", [
|
||||
("January 2025 survey results", "February 2025 survey results"),
|
||||
("2024 2024 2024 2025", "2024 2024 2024 Prelim"),
|
||||
("74.0 71.1", "74.0"),
|
||||
("January 24, 2025", "Date unavailable"),
|
||||
])
|
||||
def test_umich_report_rejects_inconsistent_header_missing_value_or_missing_date(old, new):
|
||||
body = (Path(__file__).parent / "fixtures/calendar/umich-2025-01-final.txt").read_text()
|
||||
assert old in body
|
||||
with pytest.raises(ValueError):
|
||||
parse_umich_report(body.replace(old, new))
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def test_umich_index_only_accepts_official_stage_reports_for_the_requested_year():
|
||||
body = '''<div id="report_heading"><span class="title">2025 Reports</span></div>
|
||||
<a href="fetchdoc.php?docid=1">January Preliminary Results</a>
|
||||
<a href="fetchdoc.php?docid=2">January Final Results</a>
|
||||
<a href="fetchdoc.php?docid=3">January Data Booklet</a>
|
||||
<a href="fetchdoc.php?docid=4">Revisions to Estimates</a>'''
|
||||
assert report_links(body, 2025) == {
|
||||
("2025-01", "preliminary"): "https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/fetchdoc.php?docid=1",
|
||||
("2025-01", "final"): "https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/fetchdoc.php?docid=2",
|
||||
}
|
||||
for invalid in (body.replace("2025 Reports", "2026 Reports"),
|
||||
body.replace("fetchdoc.php?docid=1", "https://example.com/foreign.pdf"),
|
||||
body + '<a href="fetchdoc.php?docid=9">January Final Results</a>'):
|
||||
with pytest.raises(ValueError):
|
||||
report_links(invalid, 2025)
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
@pytest.mark.parametrize("title,period,stage", [
|
||||
|
||||
Reference in new issue
Block a user